KC

Senior Data Scientist · Auckland, NZ

Kevin Chang

CLV Systems Pricing Strategy Microsimulation Generative AI

12+ years driving measurable business impact through advanced analytics, machine learning, and data products across financial services and government policy.

Kevin Chang profile photo

Core Expertise

CLV Systems

Customer lifetime value modelling & intelligence

Pricing Strategy

Revenue optimisation & pricing analytics

Microsimulation

Large-scale policy & population modelling

Generative AI

LLM applications & agentic pipelines

About

Summary

Data science leader delivering measurable business impact: 12+ years driving revenue growth, customer value, and strategic decision-making through advanced analytics, machine learning, and data products. Currently at ASB Bank optimising pricing strategy and driving customer intelligence initiatives. Rare combination of commercial expertise, technical depth, and policy modelling knowledge—proven ability to translate complex models into clear, actionable insights for C-suite stakeholders. Specialist in customer lifetime value systems, predictive analytics, generative AI applications, and large-scale microsimulation. Recognised mentor building high-performing analytics teams. Experience spans financial services, government policy, and consulting.

Career

Experience

Senior Data Scientist

Jan 2026 — Present

ASB Bank · Auckland, New Zealand

Pricing Analytics Revenue Optimisation
  • Drive continuous improvement of pricing strategies, models, and processes to enhance customer experience and business performance.
  • Develop and implement pricing models and analytical frameworks to support new product features or enhancements aligned with customer and market needs.
  • Monitor product performance, including pricing impact on revenue, profitability, and customer outcomes, and provide actionable insights to optimise P&L performance.
  • Evaluate post-launch performance using advanced analytics, recommending adjustments to pricing, product features, and customer strategies to improve outcomes.
  • Identify, assess, and proactively manage risks associated with pricing decisions, including regulatory, conduct, and model risks.

Data Scientist

Jan 2023 — Jan 2026

ASB Bank · Auckland, New Zealand

Customer Intelligence LLM ML Data Products
  • Customer Intelligence & Growth: Developed and deployed predictive models for customer lifetime value, segmentation, churn prediction, and product recommendation, delivering actionable insights that inform strategic planning and drive measurable revenue growth.
  • Generative AI: Applied large language models (LLMs) to analyse open-ended survey responses, identifying common themes and customer sentiments driving NPS results and customer experience insights.
  • Data Product Leadership: Partner with product, design, and engineering teams to build scalable insights platforms and analytics tools that enable data-driven decision-making across business units.

Model Assurance Specialist

Jan 2021 — Jan 2023

ASB Bank · Auckland, New Zealand

Model Validation Risk Regulatory Compliance
  • Conducted comprehensive end-to-end validations of risk, credit, and operational models, assessing methodology, data quality, implementation, and ongoing performance monitoring.
  • Challenged model assumptions and methodologies through rigorous statistical analysis, identifying limitations and recommending enhancements that strengthened model reliability.
  • Collaborated with model developers, risk managers, and senior stakeholders to ensure models met regulatory standards (RBNZ/APRA requirements) and internal risk policies.
  • Delivered clear, comprehensive validation reports to senior management and governance committees, facilitating informed decision-making on model approval and risk mitigation.

Modelling Analyst

Jan 2019 — Jan 2021

The New Zealand Treasury · Wellington, New Zealand

Microsimulation Policy R Shiny Government
  • Policy Impact Modelling: Built and maintained microsimulation models to analyse tax and welfare policy impacts, directly informing Budget decisions and Ministerial recommendations.
  • Data Integration & Engineering: Integrated complex survey and administrative datasets (IDI, HES) to create robust analytical foundations for policy evaluation.
  • Product Development: Created interactive R Shiny dashboards and internal R packages that streamlined policy analysis workflows and improved accessibility of insights for policy analysts.
  • Stakeholder Collaboration: Worked closely with policy teams, Statistics NZ, and other government agencies to ensure analytical outputs aligned with strategic policy objectives.

Statistical Consultant

Jan 2014 — Jan 2019

Statistical Consulting Centre, University of Auckland · Auckland, New Zealand

Consulting R Statistics Training
  • Provided statistical expertise to 60+ clients across academic, government, and commercial sectors, translating business questions into rigorous analytical approaches.
  • Designed and deployed web-based analytical tools and custom R packages for clients, including government agencies and research institutions.
  • Conducted advanced analyses spanning experimental design, survey methodology, longitudinal modelling, and causal inference.
  • Led R programming workshops and training sessions, building analytical capability among researchers and practitioners.

Work

Projects

2026
Featured policy

Simulation Modelling for A Better Start

The Better Start Model uses simulation to evaluate how early-life interventions in literacy, early growth, and mental wellbeing influence long-term and equitable outcomes into adulthood. Drawing on effect sizes from programmes such as literacy initiatives, reducing smoking in pregnancy, sleep interventions, and the ‘Stress Less’ programme, it models their life-course impacts. Results are delivered through an interactive Shiny web app, allowing users to explore scenarios easily without specialised software.

RShinyMicrosimulationMoE
2021
Featured shiny

Automated Psychometrics

R Shiny application enabling 60+ educational institutions to conduct reproducible psychometric analyses without coding knowledge. Published in PLoS ONE (1200+ citations) and adopted by major NZ assessment organisations.

RShinyRasch AnalysisPsychometrics
2017
Featured policy

NZ Social Laboratory: Policy Simulation Platform

Census-based microsimulation enabling policy teams to test 100+ socioeconomic scenarios. Reduced policy evaluation cycle time from months to days.

RShinyMicrosimulationCensus Data
2021
dashboard

COVID-19 Case Trends Visualisation

Interactive Highcharter visualisation of pandemic trends, used by NZ media and health communications to inform public understanding of outbreak dynamics.

RShinyHighcharterData Journalism
2021
policy

Income Explorer

The Income Explorer is an interactive app that models the relationship between wages and disposable income, assessing the impact of the New Zealand tax and welfare system on family incomes and work incentive indicators like effective marginal tax rates.

RShinyNZ Treasury
2019
policy

Vulnerable Children Investment Approach

Integrated IDI administrative data to identify causal pathways from family violence to child outcomes. Findings informed $50M+ policy investment decisions on prevention and support interventions.

RIDICausal InferencePolicy Research
2018
policy

Child Wellbeing Knowledge Laboratory

Microsimulation platform analysing 50+ policy interventions to identify high-impact factors for child wellbeing. Interactive tool used by 20+ NZ government policy teams.

RShinyMicrosimulationMBIE
2018
research

Pacific Aid Donor-Recipient Mapping

Network analysis and visualisation of Pacific region development aid flows, informing NZ foreign aid strategy and regional partnership priorities.

RShinyNetwork AnalysisMFAT

Toolkit

Skills

Languages

R Python SQL SAS SPSS

Tools & Platforms

Snowflake Databricks dbt Git Shiny Dashboard R Markdown

ML & Statistics

Experimental design Advanced statistical modelling Survey analysis Data visualisation Machine learning Microsimulation

Research

Publications

2021
  • Courtney, M. G. R., Chang, K., Mei, E., Meissel, K., Rowe, L., & Issayeva, L. (2021). autopsych: An R Shiny Tool for the Reproducible Rasch Analysis, Differential Item Functioning, Equating, and Examination of Group Effects. PLoS ONE. Open-source tool adopted by 60+ educational institutions globally; 1200+ citations.
2019
  • Shackleton, N., Chang, K., Lay-yee, R., D'Souza, S., Davis, P., & Milne, B. (2019). Microsimulation model of child and adolescent overweight: making use of what we already know. International Journal of Obesity. Policy modelling supporting NZ child health intervention strategies.
  • Zhao, J., Mackay, L., Chang, K., Mavoa, S., Stewart, T., Ikeda, E., ... & Smith, M. (2019). Visualising combined time use patterns of children's activities and their association with weight status and neighborhood context. International Journal of Environmental Research & Public Health.
  • Sutherland, K., Clatworthy, M., Chang, K., Rahardja, R., & Young, S. W. (2019). Risk factors for revision anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction and frequency with which patients change surgeons. Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine.
  • Mackenzie, B. W., Chang, K., Zoing, M., Jain, R., Hoggard, M., Biswas, K., Douglas, R. G., & Taylor, M. W. (2019). Longitudinal study of the bacterial and fungal microbiota in the human sinuses reveals seasonal and annual changes in diversity. Scientific Reports.
2018
  • Lay-Yee, R., Milne, B., Shackleton, N., Chang, K. & Davis P. (2018). Preventing youth depression: Simulating the impact of parenting interventions. Advances in Life Course Research. Microsimulation informing evidence-based youth mental health policy.
  • Courtney, M. G. R. & Chang, K. C. (2018). Dealing with non-normality: An introduction and step-by-step guide using R. Test Journal. Practical statistical guidance for 500+ academic practitioners.
2017
  • Chang, K. (2017). Computer generation of designs for two-phase experiments with applications to multiplex experiments in proteomics [Doctoral thesis, The University of Auckland]. Statistical design methodology with applications in high-dimensional biology. DOI ↗

Academic

Education

  • 2017

    Ph.D. in Statistics and Biological Sciences

    University of Auckland

  • 2008

    B.Sc. (Hons) in Bioinformatics

    University of Auckland

  • 2007

    B.Sc. in Bioinformatics

    University of Auckland

Personal

Languages

  • English Fluent
  • Mandarin Chinese Fluent

Interests

Running Photography Travelling

By the Numbers

Impact at a Glance

12+
Years Experience
5
Roles Held
8
Major Projects
3
Sectors
Finance · Government · Consulting